Some Strong Storms

4:30PM Update: The storm that I mentioned earlier (below) has begun to reach the end of its life cycle. All Groton should get from this is some rain. I would suspect that the previous storms today stabilized the atmosphere enough to kill this one.

Original Post: Groton and the area has already gotten a few thunderstorms today, one of which produced 3/4" hail in McGraw. After those storms passed, the Storm Prediction Center surprised me and issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch, stretching from Steuben County (to our southwest) all the way into Maine. The watch runs until 11PM, but since we near the back edge of it, I would guess it will be cut back before that.

In the short term, storms continue to develop over our area and move eastward. One cell formed further west and has had time to develop into a strong, healthy looking storm. That storm is just northeast of Trumansburg and heading due east, straight for Groton. It could have some small hail with it right now, but by the time it gets here, it could very well have some slightly larger hail. I will edit this post as needed for any warnings that come out or any other information as this storm approaches. My best guess would be about 4:50PM for an arrival time of the heaviest rain in Groton.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning!

The sun we had most of the afternoon has finally given way to thunderstorms in our immediate area. So far, Groton has been spared, though there was a report of 1.75" in Scott in Cortland County.

It looks like that is about to change, however. A severe thunderstorm warning has been issued for Groton and the surrounding areas until 8PM, though I wouldn't be surprised to see that time extended. A storm is moving north-northwest, coming at us from the Binghamton area. Hail reports have been frequent with this storm out of Broome County, the largest being 1.75". It looks a bit weaker than that, however. Hail is still possible, along with heavy rain and lightning. There is another storm a few miles to the southwest of that one, so the severe and flash flood threat will continue through the next hour or so.

Beyond that, there is a larger area of rain that will move in tonight. Here is a look at the radar over Tompkins County. The little boxes with three dots are recent reports of hail.



8PM update: The storm completely and utterly died. It is nothing more than a light shower now, despite producing 1.25" hail near Brooktondale. The other storm is still there and strong, but it might push west of Groton.

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