The Latest Updates

Here are the latest updates on the winter storm. Some developments have occurred that has caused me to change my forecast a tiny bit. Here is what I am seeing:















These are regional radars from WSYR News Channel 9 that are 3 hours apart. The one on the top, image 1, is from just before 5PM, while the one on the bottom, image 2, is just before 8PM.

As you can see in image 1, the arrows point to the snow to our south, which is painted with solid, darker greys. This indicates a pretty solid area of heavy snow. Then look at 3 hours later. The darker, solid greys have broken up and there is a lot more white, indicating lighter snow. I think what is happening is the storm is a bit farther east than anticipated, which is breaking up the precipitation one the west side of the storm. As a result, I think our snow totals will be a bit less than I originally thought. By tomorrow morning, expect 5-9" with another 2-5" by Sunday as another low from the mid-west helps intensify our snow tomorrow afternoon and evening.

Storm Update!

Here is the latest on the snowstorm:



Groton High School has moved the Cottilion dance from tonight to tomorrow night from 8-11PM



The snow is almost here and once it starts, it will snow steadily for a long time. the heaviest is still excpeted to fall later this afternoon and evening, probably between 2 and 9PM. Storm totals also are unchanged, with a good 7-12" expected by the time the steady snow ends tomorrow late morning.



Here is a radar loop from accuweather.com from 8:45AM through 10AM: (click to animate)

A bit premature

When making my blog entry earlier, I did have a moment or two when I thought to myself: "Am I jumping the gun on this too much? Is it too early?" It turns out, I was. Instead of 3-6" for most of CNY, 6-12" looks to be a good bet, with many of the totals in our area on the high end of that! It will arrive sooner than expected as well. Here are the details, as of now....

Snow:
Totals: 6-12" over all of Central and Western New York. More specifically for this area, 8-12" with some localized pockets of 14". The Catskills will see over a foot.

Timing:
Arrival: Late Morning/Early afternoon. (10AM-1PM)
Heaviest: Afternoon and evening. (3PM-9PM)
End: Tomorrow late morning. (9AM-12PM)

PLEASE EMAIL ME WITH ANY ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS!