Split Forecast Area

The grotonweather.com forecast area has been split by Severe Thunderstorm Watch 638. Cayuga County is under the watch, while Tompkins and Cortland got left out. In all honesty, however, that is just a technicality. Conditions are just as favorable for severe thunderstorms in Tompkins and Cortland Counties as they are in Cayuga...the SPC has to draw the line somewhere, however. I am expecting another watch to be issued later this afternoon that will include the rest of the area.




Numerous thunderstorms have developed over Western New York and Western Pennsylvania. These storms will track east, with damaging winds and hail the main threats. Other storms will develop as well, so it looks like we may have a decent severe weather event on our hands.

Severe t-storm approaching!

The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a Severe Thunderstorm WARNING for Northern Tompkins County and surrounding areas. This includes Groton. A large thunderstorm, likely containing hail, is currently just west of Cayuga Lake, moving east. Expect torrential downpours, hail and frequent lightning with this storm!

I think its a flop

I really am having my doubts about our severe weather chances. There seems to be a 'dead zone' in the atmosphere were some dry air has worked in. Our dew point is currently sitting at 54, which is normally much too low for severe weather. This area of dry air extends well to our west and south west, so I am not anticipating much to pop.

Now, if some more moist air can work its way in during the next two or three hours, we could get some storms later this evening...but I really think that, for our area, this one is a flop.

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